Tonight features increasing clouds with a few light showers after midnight with a cold front passing through. Though there's not much 'juice' to this front, we will see temperatures drop as a result of the front. High temperatures for Tuesday will actually take place at midnight, with temperatures slowly dropping throughout the night and following daytime as a northwest breeze follows the passage of the front. Temperatures will drop to the upper 40s to around 50 degrees by dawn.
Tuesday keeps the clouds around during the first half of the day with an isolated sprinkle or two before lunchtime. Skies will begin to clear as we head into the afternoon but temperatures will continue to slowly drop as our northwest breeze continues, which will occasionally gust to near 30 mph. By the late afternoon, temperatures will drop into the low 40s and we will drop into the 30s during the overnight with skies increasing in cloud cover as our next system begins to approach.
Wednesday begins on a mostly cloudy note with an approaching warm front and trough nosing into the region during the day. With an area of high pressure situated over New England, a classic case of cold air damming taking place will keep colder air trapped over the mountains and into the Greenbrier River Valley. As rain showers increase in coverage for the region, temperatures in this area will be cold enough to allow for freezing rain to fall, especially over the mountain tops, where a light accumulation of ice could create slick travel in the high country spots of Greenbrier and Pocahontas County. Elsewhere, we are looking at widely scattered rain showers become more widespread as the evening progresses. High temperatures on Wednesday will be still a little above normal but cooler than Tuesday with highs in the mid to upper 40s.
Thursday remains unsettled, with a cold front passing through during the afternoon. Rain showers will be likely off and on throughout the day. Despite the abundant clouds and showers, a southerly breeze out ahead of that cold front will allow temperatures to climb nicely, as we make a run back up into the low 60s across the region. Most towns will see a half inch to one inch of rain from this system between Wednesday and Thursday evening. Though those values are lower than flood guidance, continued snowmelt across the mountain spots in combination with this new rain and the saturation of soils from last week's system could allow for an isolated high spot or two still, mainly in the low-lying spots. Overall, the flood threat is low. In addition to the rain, with our low pressure system being close by, wind gusts will be on the high side, with gusts of 30 to 40 mph expected during the afternoon and evening.
Friday will be cloudy to start with an isolated shower in our southern counties with our front close by across the Carolinas, but high pressure during the afternoon will enable the sunshine to make a nice return for the afternoon. However, with high pressure to our north across the Great Lakes, we will have a cold northerly to northwesterly flow once again, which will hold temperatures down into the mid 40s for highs.
Saturday once again sees temperatures climb nicely as yet another system approaches. Despite showers being likely, a warm front lifting north will allow for a southerly breeze to warm temperatures up into the upper 50s. Though there will be breaks in showers, it's an overcast and wet day at times, with breezy conditions expected with a low-pressure system riding along the Ohio River.
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Sunday begins on a wet note with a stout cold front passing through. Gusty showers will be a good bet, which could briefly be heavy at times during the morning. By the afternoon, high pressure will nose in from Canada but it also will drag in much colder air as our temperatures drop from the low 50s into the low 40s during the afternoon. Gusty conditions are once again a good bet, with gusts up to 40 mph as that cold air is ushered into the region.
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Monday is a quiet day with partly sunny skies and near normal temperatures with high near 40 degrees.
Looking ahead in your extended forecast, we have a potent low pressure system approaching for late Tuesday into Wednesday. The exact track of this system's center will determine the dominate type of precipitation we see. There are two things working against this system for heavy snow - the air mass ahead of this system is not that cold. In addition, this system will be moving quickly. The current thinking is that we will see primarily rain - but it's close enough to warrant watching. Overall, temperatures toward the middle of February will be near to slightly below normal, with highs more common in the 30s and 40s than the 50s and even 60s we have been seeing recently.
TONIGHT
Sprinkles after midnight. Lows in the low 40s.
TUESDAY
Morning sprinkles, afternoon clearing. Temperatures drop from the 50s to the 40s.
WEDNESDAY
Rain showers likely. Highs in the mid 40s.
THURSDAY
Rain likely. Warm. Highs in the low 60s.
FRIDAY
AM isolated shower. PM sunshine. Cooler. Highs in the mid 40s.
SATURDAY
Few showers and milder. Highs in the upper 50s.
SUNDAY
Rain likely early. Temperatures drop from the 50s into the 40s.
MONDAY
Partly sunny. Highs near 40.
TUESDAY
Afternoon rain/snow mix. Highs in the mid 30s.
WEDNESDAY
Rain/snow mix likely. Highs in the upper 30s.
THURSDAY
More rain and snow showers. Highs near 40.
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